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Data as of 2026-11-04
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Built 2026-11-05 (5 November 2026)

ERCOT Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 7 October to 4 November 2026

In the 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026, electricity demand in ERCOT averaged 55,111 MW and typically peaked at 16:00 local time (64,306 MW) and bottomed out at 03:00 (46,512 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 22,059 MW at 10:00 and then rose 16,843 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Chicago).

Key Facts

  • Over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026, average demand in ERCOT was 55,111 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 16:00 local time (64,306 MW) and the lowest was 03:00 (46,512 MW).
  • The largest three hour rise in average demand was 1,224 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
  • The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 81,154 MW, in the hour starting 13 Oct 2026, 16:00 CDT (UTC-05:00).
  • Solar output averaged 24,192 MW at its 12:00 peak, 44% of average demand.
  • Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 33,809 MW, fell to 22,059 MW at 10:00 and rose 16,843 MW over the three hours from 15:00 to 18:00, 31% of average demand.

Average Day by Local Hour

29 days to 2026-11-04, America/Chicago time
ERCOT average demand and net generation by local hour Average electricity demand in ERCOT by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. It was lowest at 03:00 (46,512 MW) and highest at 16:00 (64,306 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports. 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average electricity demand in ERCOT by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. It was lowest at 03:00 (46,512 MW) and highest at 16:00 (64,306 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-07 to 2026-11-04
ERCOT average demand and net generation by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)DemandNet generation
00:0050,269 MW49,999 MW
01:0048,367 MW48,083 MW
02:0047,201 MW46,897 MW
03:0046,512 MW46,216 MW
04:0046,578 MW46,291 MW
05:0047,484 MW47,195 MW
06:0049,248 MW49,012 MW
07:0050,219 MW50,018 MW
08:0051,039 MW50,935 MW
09:0052,822 MW52,839 MW
10:0054,801 MW54,918 MW
11:0056,852 MW57,012 MW
12:0058,823 MW58,996 MW
13:0060,797 MW60,983 MW
14:0062,455 MW62,616 MW
15:0063,710 MW63,879 MW
16:0064,306 MW64,503 MW
17:0063,679 MW63,825 MW
18:0062,100 MW62,025 MW
19:0061,012 MW60,803 MW
20:0059,469 MW59,250 MW
21:0057,462 MW57,199 MW
22:0054,943 MW54,641 MW
23:0052,527 MW52,266 MW
ERCOT duck curve: demand and net load by local hour Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in ERCOT by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 10:00 (22,059 MW) and then rose 16,843 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in ERCOT by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 10:00 (22,059 MW) and then rose 16,843 MW between 15:00 to 18:00.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-07 to 2026-11-04
ERCOT duck curve: demand and net load by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)DemandNet load (demand minus solar and wind)
00:0050,269 MW34,057 MW
01:0048,367 MW33,029 MW
02:0047,201 MW32,242 MW
03:0046,512 MW32,394 MW
04:0046,578 MW33,317 MW
05:0047,484 MW34,963 MW
06:0049,248 MW37,287 MW
07:0050,219 MW38,006 MW
08:0051,039 MW32,089 MW
09:0052,822 MW24,254 MW
10:0054,801 MW22,059 MW
11:0056,852 MW22,332 MW
12:0058,823 MW24,270 MW
13:0060,797 MW26,571 MW
14:0062,455 MW28,131 MW
15:0063,710 MW29,837 MW
16:0064,306 MW32,537 MW
17:0063,679 MW38,546 MW
18:0062,100 MW46,680 MW
19:0061,012 MW47,795 MW
20:0059,469 MW44,796 MW
21:0057,462 MW41,698 MW
22:0054,943 MW38,547 MW
23:0052,527 MW35,967 MW
ERCOT average solar and wind output by local hour Average solar and wind generation in ERCOT by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Solar peaked at 12:00 at 24,192 MW. 0 6,250 12,500 18,750 25,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average solar and wind generation in ERCOT by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Solar peaked at 12:00 at 24,192 MW.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-07 to 2026-11-04
ERCOT average solar and wind output by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)SolarWind
00:001 MW16,211 MW
01:001 MW15,337 MW
02:001 MW14,958 MW
03:002 MW14,116 MW
04:001 MW13,260 MW
05:001 MW12,520 MW
06:005 MW11,955 MW
07:00775 MW11,438 MW
08:008,336 MW10,613 MW
09:0019,100 MW9,469 MW
10:0022,626 MW10,116 MW
11:0023,888 MW10,632 MW
12:0024,192 MW10,361 MW
13:0024,045 MW10,182 MW
14:0023,959 MW10,365 MW
15:0023,050 MW10,823 MW
16:0020,390 MW11,379 MW
17:0013,150 MW11,983 MW
18:002,871 MW12,549 MW
19:0024 MW13,193 MW
20:001 MW14,673 MW
21:001 MW15,763 MW
22:000 MW16,396 MW
23:001 MW16,559 MW
Average ERCOT demand, net generation, solar, wind and net load by local hour
Local hourDemandNet generationSolarWindNet load
00:00 50,269 MW 49,999 MW 1 MW 16,211 MW 34,057 MW
01:00 48,367 MW 48,083 MW 1 MW 15,337 MW 33,029 MW
02:00 47,201 MW 46,897 MW 1 MW 14,958 MW 32,242 MW
03:00 46,512 MW 46,216 MW 2 MW 14,116 MW 32,394 MW
04:00 46,578 MW 46,291 MW 1 MW 13,260 MW 33,317 MW
05:00 47,484 MW 47,195 MW 1 MW 12,520 MW 34,963 MW
06:00 49,248 MW 49,012 MW 5 MW 11,955 MW 37,287 MW
07:00 50,219 MW 50,018 MW 775 MW 11,438 MW 38,006 MW
08:00 51,039 MW 50,935 MW 8,336 MW 10,613 MW 32,089 MW
09:00 52,822 MW 52,839 MW 19,100 MW 9,469 MW 24,254 MW
10:00 54,801 MW 54,918 MW 22,626 MW 10,116 MW 22,059 MW
11:00 56,852 MW 57,012 MW 23,888 MW 10,632 MW 22,332 MW
12:00 58,823 MW 58,996 MW 24,192 MW 10,361 MW 24,270 MW
13:00 60,797 MW 60,983 MW 24,045 MW 10,182 MW 26,571 MW
14:00 62,455 MW 62,616 MW 23,959 MW 10,365 MW 28,131 MW
15:00 63,710 MW 63,879 MW 23,050 MW 10,823 MW 29,837 MW
16:00 64,306 MW 64,503 MW 20,390 MW 11,379 MW 32,537 MW
17:00 63,679 MW 63,825 MW 13,150 MW 11,983 MW 38,546 MW
18:00 62,100 MW 62,025 MW 2,871 MW 12,549 MW 46,680 MW
19:00 61,012 MW 60,803 MW 24 MW 13,193 MW 47,795 MW
20:00 59,469 MW 59,250 MW 1 MW 14,673 MW 44,796 MW
21:00 57,462 MW 57,199 MW 1 MW 15,763 MW 41,698 MW
22:00 54,943 MW 54,641 MW 0 MW 16,396 MW 38,547 MW
23:00 52,527 MW 52,266 MW 1 MW 16,559 MW 35,967 MW

Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 81,154 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-11-04. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.

Assumptions

  • Hours are local clock time in America/Chicago. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
  • The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
  • The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Cite this page
APA 7

World Power Monitor. (2026). ERCOT Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/ercot/

Plain text

World Power Monitor. ERCOT Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-11-04. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/ercot/

BibTeX 
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_ercot_2026,
  title = {{ERCOT Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
  author = {{World Power Monitor}},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Data as of 2026-11-04. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
  url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/ercot/}
}

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