Estonia Wind, Solar and Electricity Prices, 2026
In Estonia, across 179 days from 2025-09-05 (5 September 2025) to 2026-09-19 (19 September 2026), the average day-ahead price on the quarter of days with the highest wind and solar share was EUR 38.97/MWh, against EUR 119.92/MWh on the quarter with the lowest share (EUR 80.95/MWh lower). The correlation between the two is -0.71, a strong tendency for days with more wind and solar to have lower average prices. Prices are day-ahead, in EUR per MWh as published, and are not converted. Correlation is not causation.
Key Facts
- In Estonia, across 179 days from 2025-09-05 (5 September 2025) to 2026-09-19 (19 September 2026), the average day-ahead price on the quarter of days with the highest wind and solar share was EUR 38.97/MWh, against EUR 119.92/MWh on the quarter with the lowest share (EUR 80.95/MWh lower). The correlation between the two is -0.71, a strong tendency for days with more wind and solar to have lower average prices.
- Wind and solar averaged 61% of daily generation in Estonia over 179 days from 2025-09-05 (5 September 2025) to 2026-09-19 (19 September 2026), and the average day-ahead price over those days was EUR 73.02/MWh.
- The quarter of days with the lowest wind and solar share (5% to 54% of generation) averaged EUR 119.92/MWh; the quarter with the highest share (73% to 86%) averaged EUR 38.97/MWh.
Windiest and Least Windy Days
179 days, 2025-09-05 to 2026-09-19| Days | Number of days | Wind and solar share | Average day-ahead price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Highest share quarter | 44 | 73% to 86% | EUR 38.97/MWh |
| Lowest share quarter | 44 | 5% to 54% | EUR 119.92/MWh |
Days are ranked by wind plus solar as a share of that day's generation. The average is the mean of the daily average day-ahead prices. These are daily figures and say nothing about individual hours.
Source: ENTSO-E Transparency Platform (transparency.entsoe.eu), CC BY 4.0. Aggregated and converted by World Power Monitor; ENTSO-E does not endorse this site. (ENTSO-E Terms of Use plus CC BY 4.0 for listed data items) Data as of 2026-09-19. Shares and averages are computed by World Power Monitor from ENTSO-E daily generation and day-ahead prices.
Average Price by Wind and Solar Share
EUR/MWh, days in five equal groups| Lowest fifth of days (5% to 51%) | |
|---|---|
| Second fifth (51% to 60%) | |
| Middle fifth (60% to 66%) | |
| Fourth fifth (66% to 75%) | |
| Highest fifth (75% to 86%) |
Each bar is the average day-ahead price on one fifth of the days, from the fifth with the lowest wind and solar share to the fifth with the highest. A bar at zero width is a price at or below zero. Bars are drawn from zero.
Source: ENTSO-E Transparency Platform (transparency.entsoe.eu), CC BY 4.0. Aggregated and converted by World Power Monitor; ENTSO-E does not endorse this site. (ENTSO-E Terms of Use plus CC BY 4.0 for listed data items) Data as of 2026-09-19.
What the Correlation Says
The Pearson correlation between the daily wind and solar share and the daily mean day-ahead price in Estonia is -0.71 over 179 days: a strong tendency for days with more wind and solar to have lower average prices. Among the 39 zones on the main page, it ranks 1 from the strongest negative link.
Correlation is not causation. Season, weather, demand, gas prices and imports all move at the same time as wind and solar output, so this figure describes how the numbers moved together in this window, not what wind and solar caused. It uses daily averages only.