Built 2026-10-04 (4 October 2026)

Adoption Curves: How Fast Solar and Wind Grew After Passing 1%

How long does it take a fuel to grow from a footnote to a major source? These pages line countries up by the year solar or wind first reached 1% of generation, then count the years to 5%, 10% and 20%. Solar: 26 of 54 countries reached 10%, from 2 years (Vietnam) to 13 years (Slovenia) after 1%. Wind: 24 of 50 countries reached 10%, from 1 year (Kenya) to 18 years (the Netherlands) after 1%. The median country took 8.5 years to go from 1% to 10% solar (26 countries) against 9 years for wind (24 countries). Data as of 2025, Ember annual statistics.

Key Facts

  • 54 countries generating at least 10 TWh passed 1% solar and have at least 5 years of data since, to 2025.
  • Hungary had the highest solar share in its latest year, 27.1% in 2025; it passed 1% in 2017.
  • Pakistan took 6 years from 1% to 20% solar, Spain 15 years; 5 countries have reached 20%.
  • 50 countries generating at least 10 TWh passed 1% wind and have at least 5 years of data since, to 2025.
  • Uruguay had the highest wind share in its latest year, 40.6% in 2025; it passed 1% in 2011.
  • Uruguay took 5 years from 1% to 20% wind, the Netherlands 21 years; 11 countries have reached 20%.

Adoption Curves by Fuel

Ember, to 2025

Solar and Wind Compared

Countries at or above 10 TWh
For each fuel: countries that passed 1%, how many reached 5%, 10% and 20%, and the fastest and slowest to 10%
Fuel Passed 1% Reached 5%Reached 10%Reached 20% Fastest to 10% Slowest to 10%
Solar 54 43265 馃嚮馃嚦 Vietnam, 2 years 馃嚫馃嚠 Slovenia, 13 years
Wind 50 372411 馃嚢馃嚜 Kenya, 1 year 馃嚦馃嚤 Netherlands, 18 years

A country counts when it generated at least 10 TWh in its latest year, its series began below 1%, and it has at least 5 years of data after first reaching 1%. Years are counted from the year each country first reached 1%.

Source: Ember (ember-energy.org), licensed under CC BY 4.0. Data as of 2025. Annual statistics from Ember; each country is measured to its own latest year.