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Data as of 2026-11-04
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Built 2026-11-05 (5 November 2026)

TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 7 October to 4 November 2026

In the 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026, electricity demand in TVA averaged 16,923 MW and typically peaked at 17:00 local time (19,922 MW) and bottomed out at 03:00 (14,074 MW). With solar taken off, the remaining load fell to 14,074 MW at 03:00 and then rose 2,023 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Chicago).

Key Facts

  • Over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026, average demand in TVA was 16,923 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 17:00 local time (19,922 MW) and the lowest was 03:00 (14,074 MW).
  • The largest three hour rise in average demand was 1,176 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
  • The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 44,377 MW, in the hour starting 20 Oct 2026, 17:00 CDT (UTC-05:00).
  • Solar output averaged 1,145 MW at its 11:00 peak, 7% of average demand.
  • Demand minus solar (net load) averaged 16,507 MW, fell to 14,074 MW at 03:00 and rose 2,023 MW over the three hours from 14:00 to 17:00, 12% of average demand.

Average Day by Local Hour

29 days to 2026-11-04, America/Chicago time
TVA average demand and net generation by local hour Average electricity demand in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. It was lowest at 03:00 (14,074 MW) and highest at 17:00 (19,922 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average electricity demand in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. It was lowest at 03:00 (14,074 MW) and highest at 17:00 (19,922 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-07 to 2026-11-04
TVA average demand and net generation by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)DemandNet generation
00:0014,696 MW13,953 MW
01:0014,258 MW13,532 MW
02:0014,107 MW13,379 MW
03:0014,074 MW13,407 MW
04:0014,397 MW13,760 MW
05:0015,187 MW14,530 MW
06:0016,105 MW15,488 MW
07:0016,546 MW15,893 MW
08:0016,927 MW16,133 MW
09:0017,124 MW16,243 MW
10:0017,487 MW16,589 MW
11:0017,862 MW16,968 MW
12:0018,241 MW17,287 MW
13:0018,475 MW17,459 MW
14:0018,746 MW17,650 MW
15:0019,002 MW17,936 MW
16:0019,143 MW18,174 MW
17:0019,922 MW19,090 MW
18:0018,780 MW18,078 MW
19:0018,531 MW17,892 MW
20:0017,936 MW17,257 MW
21:0017,138 MW16,318 MW
22:0016,127 MW15,348 MW
23:0015,349 MW14,525 MW
TVA duck curve: demand and net load by local hour Average demand and net load (demand minus solar) in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 03:00 (14,074 MW) and then rose 2,023 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average demand and net load (demand minus solar) in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Net load was lowest at 03:00 (14,074 MW) and then rose 2,023 MW between 14:00 to 17:00.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-07 to 2026-11-04
TVA duck curve: demand and net load by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)DemandNet load (demand minus solar)
00:0014,696 MW14,696 MW
01:0014,258 MW14,258 MW
02:0014,107 MW14,103 MW
03:0014,074 MW14,074 MW
04:0014,397 MW14,396 MW
05:0015,187 MW15,185 MW
06:0016,105 MW16,093 MW
07:0016,546 MW16,388 MW
08:0016,927 MW16,168 MW
09:0017,124 MW16,053 MW
10:0017,487 MW16,344 MW
11:0017,862 MW16,718 MW
12:0018,241 MW17,100 MW
13:0018,475 MW17,341 MW
14:0018,746 MW17,621 MW
15:0019,002 MW17,928 MW
16:0019,143 MW18,301 MW
17:0019,922 MW19,644 MW
18:0018,780 MW18,745 MW
19:0018,531 MW18,502 MW
20:0017,936 MW17,918 MW
21:0017,138 MW17,132 MW
22:0016,127 MW16,122 MW
23:0015,349 MW15,346 MW
TVA average solar output by local hour Average solar generation in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Solar peaked at 11:00 at 1,145 MW. 0 300 600 900 1,200 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average solar generation in TVA by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026. Solar peaked at 11:00 at 1,145 MW.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-10-07 to 2026-11-04
TVA average solar output by local hour
Local hour (America/Chicago)Solar
00:000 MW
01:000 MW
02:004 MW
03:000 MW
04:000 MW
05:002 MW
06:0013 MW
07:00158 MW
08:00759 MW
09:001,071 MW
10:001,142 MW
11:001,145 MW
12:001,141 MW
13:001,133 MW
14:001,125 MW
15:001,074 MW
16:00842 MW
17:00278 MW
18:0035 MW
19:0029 MW
20:0018 MW
21:005 MW
22:005 MW
23:003 MW
Average TVA demand, net generation, solar and net load by local hour
Local hourDemandNet generationSolarNet load
00:00 14,696 MW 13,953 MW 0 MW 14,696 MW
01:00 14,258 MW 13,532 MW 0 MW 14,258 MW
02:00 14,107 MW 13,379 MW 4 MW 14,103 MW
03:00 14,074 MW 13,407 MW 0 MW 14,074 MW
04:00 14,397 MW 13,760 MW 0 MW 14,396 MW
05:00 15,187 MW 14,530 MW 2 MW 15,185 MW
06:00 16,105 MW 15,488 MW 13 MW 16,093 MW
07:00 16,546 MW 15,893 MW 158 MW 16,388 MW
08:00 16,927 MW 16,133 MW 759 MW 16,168 MW
09:00 17,124 MW 16,243 MW 1,071 MW 16,053 MW
10:00 17,487 MW 16,589 MW 1,142 MW 16,344 MW
11:00 17,862 MW 16,968 MW 1,145 MW 16,718 MW
12:00 18,241 MW 17,287 MW 1,141 MW 17,100 MW
13:00 18,475 MW 17,459 MW 1,133 MW 17,341 MW
14:00 18,746 MW 17,650 MW 1,125 MW 17,621 MW
15:00 19,002 MW 17,936 MW 1,074 MW 17,928 MW
16:00 19,143 MW 18,174 MW 842 MW 18,301 MW
17:00 19,922 MW 19,090 MW 278 MW 19,644 MW
18:00 18,780 MW 18,078 MW 35 MW 18,745 MW
19:00 18,531 MW 17,892 MW 29 MW 18,502 MW
20:00 17,936 MW 17,257 MW 18 MW 17,918 MW
21:00 17,138 MW 16,318 MW 5 MW 17,132 MW
22:00 16,127 MW 15,348 MW 5 MW 16,122 MW
23:00 15,349 MW 14,525 MW 3 MW 15,346 MW

Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 7 October to 4 November 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar generation. Wind is left out of the net load calculation for TVA: the series is missing, reads zero, or is under 3% of average demand in this window. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 44,377 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-11-04. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.

Assumptions

  • Hours are local clock time in America/Chicago. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
  • The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
  • The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Cite this page
APA 7

World Power Monitor. (2026). TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/

Plain text

World Power Monitor. TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-11-04. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/

BibTeX 
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_tva_2026,
  title = {{TVA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
  author = {{World Power Monitor}},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Data as of 2026-11-04. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
  url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/tva/}
}

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